I don’t know a single person voting Nats but my gut feeling is they will get it. And likely not by a huge margin, meaning Nat-Act govt likely.
ITT no discussing why X should or shouldn’t be in, just your predictions.
Also, is it illegal to bet on elections?
Apparently not, and odds are pretty good for Nat:
Those odds aren’t really lining up with current polling which is putting NZFist and Act on or about the same number of seats, if not NZ1 above.
NZF often polls lower than its support on the day.
Why so high for Act? Would they not be considered part of the government in a coalition with Nats?
Yes but Seymour wouldn’t be PM
That’s only if no majority is achieved though.