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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 3rd, 2023

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  • Indeed. I was expecting a two-week “calm before the storm” at this point, as the protest blackout ended but the API was not yet removed. But the protest continued and Reddit keeps stirring the pot. Interesting times.

    I know that in the end Reddit will be able to brute-force themselves a “win”, but if the Fediverse gets a nice solid critical mass of users as a result then I think Reddit’s destined for a long decline.



  • I think we’ll see a temporary “return to normalcy” after the protest finishes and most subs come back online. But come June 30 and the end of third-party apps, we’ll see a bunch of users come back to Lemmy/Kbin again.

    In a way, this seems like the best way of driving things. The protest has raised awareness and got a ton of development work going, and then there’s going to be a respite giving instances time to prepare themselves for the second surge.






  • A common pattern among Reddit alternatives has been that their initial population has been some particular group that has been driven out of polite company for some reason. Voat had the Incels and Trump supporters, for example. Lemmy happens to have been started by authoritarian fans. The difference is that Lemmy is open and finally the “normal” Redditors are coming. So I expect them to flood out the niche folk soon enough.




  • It’s not surprising, but IMO the shutdown is still worthwhile. It’s shaking people loose to start looking for alternatives, and giving those alternatives opportunity to shake themselves down too. We’re not quite ready for a Digg-style implosion yet. It may come more gradually this time.




  • This is the number one source of reassurance I give people who object that Lemmy is “overrun by tankies.” That was just the earliest niche community that happened to jump ship in this particular direction. Now, even at this early stage, Lemmy is being overrun by everyone else.



  • The only hope I have for Reddit - and it’s a vain one, I fully recognize - is that after shareholders buy it they might put a board of directors in place who go “hey, our userbase is bleeding profusely and Reddit alternatives are flourishing, maybe we should do something to staunch that if we want this thing to retain any value.”

    The current owners evidently don’t believe that, so an IPO that swaps them out is the only option.