• cosmic_slate@dmv.social
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    7 months ago

    That is assuming interest rates will go lower. This is not guaranteed, and this risk is something people need to account for instead of assuming we’ll go back to a decade of basically-zero interest rates.

    The last 15+ years of interest rates have arguably been very unusual because the fed lowered them in response to multiple recessions since the 90s but didn’t/wasn’t able to raise them to pre-recession levels.

    We’re now in a weird situation where they showed that they can raise rates with very little short-term impact. There’s little incentive to lower them to spur economic growth.